Well, here we are. We’ve completed our last trip around the sun before the 2020 census gets underway. And once again, as we do every December, we take a look at the latest population estimates for each of the 50 states from Census Bureau — and your friendly neighborhood reapportionment nerd is ready to roll. For over a decade, I’ve been tracking Oregon’s progress toward a sixth congressional seat.<\/p>\n
And you know what? In 2016, we projected a sixth seat<\/a> for the first time, and it’s looking safer than ever.<\/p>\n Our sixth seat this year ranks #427, it’s definitely happening. (The last seat is #435.)<\/p>\n The big news this year? For the first time in history, it seems that California is poised to lose a congressional seat. Right now, they’re at 53. But based on this final population estimate, California’s 53rd seat is at outer edge of the bubble, ranked #439.<\/p>\n What else? If the 2019 census estimates<\/a> are right, Texas will pick up two seats. States picking up one are: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon. States losing one are: California, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia. <\/p>\n Right on the bubble? Ohio could lose one. Florida could pick up a second. Maybe Montana doesn’t get the +1 and Minnesota dodges losing one. (And the potential out-of-nowhere surprise? A third seat for Idaho.)<\/p>\n The decades-long population shift from the midwest and northeast to the south and far west continues unabated (excepting California.) <\/p>\n Previously:<\/p>\n Well, here we are. We’ve completed our last trip around the sun before the 2020 census gets underway. And once again, as we do every December, we take a look at the latest population estimates for each of the 50 states from Census Bureau — and your friendly neighborhood reapportionment nerd is ready to roll. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pagelayer_contact_templates":[],"_pagelayer_content":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimrobison.org\/jimwp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\n